Oscar Predictions!
Updated (Winners = *)
Best Picture:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
*Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck.
Munich
Best Director:
*Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Bennett Miller, Capote
Paul Haggis, Crash
George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck.
Steven Spielberg, Munich
Best Actor:
*Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow
Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
David Strathairn, Good Night, and Good Luck.
Best Actress:
Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice
Charlize Theron, North Country
*Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
Best Supporting Actor:
*George Clooney, Syriana
Matt Dillon, Crash
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain
William Hurt, A History of Violence
Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams, Junebug
Catherine Keener, Capote
Frances McDormand, North Country
*Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain (note: I actually think Rachel Weisz will win this, but Michelle DESERVES it, so I'll vote for her -- this is my prediction for best possible upset!)
Original Screenplay:
*Crash, written by Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco; story by Paul Haggis
Good Night, and Good Luck., written by George Clooney & Grant Heslov
Match Point, written Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale, written by Noah Baumbach
Syriana, written by Stephen Gaghan
Adapted Screenplay:
*Brokeback Mountain, screenplay by Larry McMurtry & Diana Ossana
Capote, screenplay by Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener, screenplay by Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence, Josh Olson
Munich, screenplay by Tony Kushner & Eric Roth
Best Animated Feature:
Howl's Moving Castle
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride
*Wallace & Gromit in the Curse of the Were-Rabbit
Best Foreign-Language Film:
Don't Tell, Italy
Joyeux Noel, France
Paradise Now, Palestine
Sophie Scholl--The Final Days, Germany
*Tsotsi, South Africa
Art Direction:
Good Night, and Good Luck.
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
King Kong
*Memoirs of a Geisha
Pride & Prejudice
Cinematography:
Batman Begins
Brokeback Mountain
Good Night, and Good Luck.
*Memoirs of a Geisha
The New World
Costume Design:
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
*Memoirs of a Geisha
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Pride & Prejudice
Walk the Line
Documentary Feature:
Darwin's Nightmare
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
*March of the Penguins
Murderball
Street Fight
Documentary Short:
The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club
God Sleeps in Rwanda
The Mushroom Club
*A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin
Film Editing:
Cinderella Man
The Constant Gardener
*Crash
Munich
Walk the Line
Makeup:
*The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Cinderella Man
Star Wars: Episode III-Revenge of the Sith
Original Score:
*Brokeback Mountain, Gustavo Santaolalla
The Constant Gardener, Alberto Iglesias
Memoirs of a Geisha, John Williams
Munich, John Williams
Pride & Prejudice, Dario Marianelli
Original Song:
"In the Deep" (Crash), music by Kathleen "Bird" York & Michael Becker; lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York
*"It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" (Hustle & Flow), music and lyrics by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman & Paul Beauregard
"Travelin' Thru" (Transamerica), music and lyrics by Dolly Parton
Sound Editing:
*King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
War of the Worlds
Sound Mixing:
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
*King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
Walk the Line
War of the Worlds
Visual Effects:
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
*King Kong
War of the Worlds
Best Picture:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
*Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck.
Munich
Best Director:
*Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Bennett Miller, Capote
Paul Haggis, Crash
George Clooney, Good Night, and Good Luck.
Steven Spielberg, Munich
Best Actor:
*Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Terrence Howard, Hustle & Flow
Heath Ledger, Brokeback Mountain
Joaquin Phoenix, Walk the Line
David Strathairn, Good Night, and Good Luck.
Best Actress:
Judi Dench, Mrs. Henderson Presents
Felicity Huffman, Transamerica
Keira Knightley, Pride & Prejudice
Charlize Theron, North Country
*Reese Witherspoon, Walk the Line
Best Supporting Actor:
*George Clooney, Syriana
Matt Dillon, Crash
Paul Giamatti, Cinderella Man
Jake Gyllenhaal, Brokeback Mountain
William Hurt, A History of Violence
Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams, Junebug
Catherine Keener, Capote
Frances McDormand, North Country
*Rachel Weisz, The Constant Gardener
Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain (note: I actually think Rachel Weisz will win this, but Michelle DESERVES it, so I'll vote for her -- this is my prediction for best possible upset!)
Original Screenplay:
*Crash, written by Paul Haggis & Bobby Moresco; story by Paul Haggis
Good Night, and Good Luck., written by George Clooney & Grant Heslov
Match Point, written Woody Allen
The Squid and the Whale, written by Noah Baumbach
Syriana, written by Stephen Gaghan
Adapted Screenplay:
*Brokeback Mountain, screenplay by Larry McMurtry & Diana Ossana
Capote, screenplay by Dan Futterman
The Constant Gardener, screenplay by Jeffrey Caine
A History of Violence, Josh Olson
Munich, screenplay by Tony Kushner & Eric Roth
Best Animated Feature:
Howl's Moving Castle
Tim Burton's Corpse Bride
*Wallace & Gromit in the Curse of the Were-Rabbit
Best Foreign-Language Film:
Don't Tell, Italy
Joyeux Noel, France
Paradise Now, Palestine
Sophie Scholl--The Final Days, Germany
*Tsotsi, South Africa
Art Direction:
Good Night, and Good Luck.
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire
King Kong
*Memoirs of a Geisha
Pride & Prejudice
Cinematography:
Batman Begins
Brokeback Mountain
Good Night, and Good Luck.
*Memoirs of a Geisha
The New World
Costume Design:
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory
*Memoirs of a Geisha
Mrs. Henderson Presents
Pride & Prejudice
Walk the Line
Documentary Feature:
Darwin's Nightmare
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
*March of the Penguins
Murderball
Street Fight
Documentary Short:
The Death of Kevin Carter: Casualty of the Bang Bang Club
God Sleeps in Rwanda
The Mushroom Club
*A Note of Triumph: The Golden Age of Norman Corwin
Film Editing:
Cinderella Man
The Constant Gardener
*Crash
Munich
Walk the Line
Makeup:
*The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
Cinderella Man
Star Wars: Episode III-Revenge of the Sith
Original Score:
*Brokeback Mountain, Gustavo Santaolalla
The Constant Gardener, Alberto Iglesias
Memoirs of a Geisha, John Williams
Munich, John Williams
Pride & Prejudice, Dario Marianelli
Original Song:
"In the Deep" (Crash), music by Kathleen "Bird" York & Michael Becker; lyrics by Kathleen "Bird" York
*"It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp" (Hustle & Flow), music and lyrics by Jordan Houston, Cedric Coleman & Paul Beauregard
"Travelin' Thru" (Transamerica), music and lyrics by Dolly Parton
Sound Editing:
*King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
War of the Worlds
Sound Mixing:
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
*King Kong
Memoirs of a Geisha
Walk the Line
War of the Worlds
Visual Effects:
The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, the Witch and the Wardrobe
*King Kong
War of the Worlds
6 Comments:
Wow - you really do take the Oscars seriously, huh?
Can't wait to read your fashion review of the red carpet entrances.
Take it seriously? What was your first clue? ;)
Here's why I'm posting after 1 a.m.: I couldn't sleep because I couldn't remember who was nominated LAST YEAR, so I had to look it up.
Really, it's quite an addiction. D and I call each other daily during January to give each other updates on the films we've seen.
I am so ashamed to admit I have seen very few of these movies.
I cannot wait to see the show!
Thanks for posting this list.
xo
Jen
Well, not everyone is obsessed like me about seeing as many of the movies as possible (no, I haven't seen ALL of them...can't stand Keira Knightly, the woman who looks like she needs to poop).
And that's a good thing!
Sick job on predictions, TJ. Wow. I thought of you when PSH won (remember when you saw his bizzaro twin? That's from Seinfeld, if you're not a watcher.)
I actually was pretty convinced that Crash had a good chance of winning, though I didn't change my vote. That was pretty thrilling!
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